June marked a milestone in crypto trading: the DEX-to-CEX spot volume ratio surpassed 50% for the first time, signaling a historic shift in market structure.

DEX-to-CEX Spot Volume Ratio, source: Blockworks

Over the past year, DEX volumes have more than doubled, while CEX volume growth has remained largely flat. Key platforms like Uniswap, PancakeSwap, Orca, Raydium, and Meteora have maintained steady market share even as centralized exchanges slowed.

The Hollowing Out of the CEXy Middle

But what drove this shift?

A striking pattern has emerged in recent crypto market activity: while Bitcoin continues to hold strong and memecoins thrive on decentralized exchanges, the traditional altcoin market—the so-called middle ground—has gone quiet. This suggests a bifurcation in investor behavior, where both ends of the risk spectrum are active, but the space in between is eroding.

Bitcoin, the anchor of the market, has maintained steady trading volumes and institutional interest, supported by its narrative as digital gold and a long-term store of value.

At the other extreme, DEXs have seen a surge in speculative activity around memecoins and newly launched tokens, many of which are short-lived or high-risk. Platforms like Solana, Base and BNB Chain have become hotspots for rapid-fire memecoin trading, despite the prevalence of rug pulls and scam tokens.

In contrast, mid-tier altcoins—projects that are neither blue-chip nor speculative novelties—have seen significant volume declines. CEXs, where most of this altcoin trading takes place, experienced a steep 30% drop in spot volumes in June. This fall is not merely a symptom of a broad market downturn but a signal that traders are either shifting toward long-term holding or opting for high-risk plays with quick payoff potential.

This polarization reflects deeper changes in sentiment and behavior—and it favors DEXs. Retail traders seem less interested in medium-risk, medium-reward bets, while institutional players are doubling down on Bitcoin and occasionally Ethereum—increasingly outside CEXs.

The CLOB Wars Are Here — And DEXs Might Finally Win

Another factor in this shift is that DEXs are becoming more advanced, increasingly rivaling CEX functionality. On the infrastructure side, we are nearly there.

Decentralized trading has come a long way. The launch of Uniswap popularized Automated Market Makers (AMMs), making it easy for anyone to swap tokens permissionlessly. But while AMMs are still widely used, many believe the future belongs to decentralized platforms that mimic the familiar experience of centralized exchanges — namely, with a traditional order book interface, but fully on-chain.

In crypto, liquidity tends to stick around once it has settled. So the first team to deliver a truly seamless, CEX-like trading experience — minus the custodial risk — could grab a massive share of the market. We are talking about a space worth hundreds of billions, maybe more.

Some in the industry are calling this new era the “CLOB Wars.”

CLOB stands for Central Limit Order Book — a system that brings the speed and precision of centralized trading to decentralized platforms, while letting users stay in control of their assets and see everything transparently on-chain.

The project that really kicked things off was Hyperliquid — a fully decentralized perp exchange with a familiar order book interface and up to 40x leverage. Despite being relatively new, it is already taking 10–20% of the market share from big-name CEXs — a clear sign that demand is real.

Hyperliquid’s rise opened the floodgates. Now, dozens of teams are racing to build their own high-performance, order-book-based DEXs. A few notable ones:

  • GTE, built on MegaETH, taps into high throughput, quick blocks, and low fees to support a fully on-chain order book.
  • Kuru, launching on Monad L1, plans to use geo-distributed validators and Monad’s near-instant finality (~1 sec) and high throughput (~10,000 TPS).
  • Polkaswap, built with Polkadot (Substrate) blockchain technology stores and manages it directly on the blockchain, specifically on the SORA network.
  • Hibachi, which handles trades off-chain for low latency, then posts ZK proofs to Celestia using Succinct.
  • Bullet, blending Solana’s fast settlement layer with an off-chain zero-knowledge virtual machine.

And more are entering the race every month.

Each project takes a slightly different approach, but they are all chasing the same goal: fast, fully on-chain trading powered by CLOBs. And this time, the tech seems ready to deliver.

Whether centralized exchanges can reposition themselves in this new environment — bridging the gap or reinventing their role — remains to be seen. For now, the momentum is clearly shifting, and we’ll be Observing how far the pendulum swings.

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